QAMISHLI – Neither the Assad regime nor Turkey wants an indefinite U.S.-protected Kurdish zone in northeastern Syria, Nicholas A. Heras, an analyst at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), told ARA News.
The As-Safir newspaper on Monday reported that the Syrian regime and Turkey made a deal to leave Aleppo for Assad, while Turkey could focus on preventing the Kurds to unite their cantons. This report is not confirmed yet by official sources, but Turkey has recently held several meetings with the Russians and Iranians.
According to activists, the handover of Darayya city in Damascus suburb to the Syrian regime is part of the deal, and Aleppo will be next.
“The real crux of the matter is whether Erdogan will really want to stop supporting Syrian rebel groups in Aleppo, especially because they are useful proxies to extract more concessions from Damascus,” Heras said.
“Erdogan can outwait Assad, if need be. The Assad regime’s military forces are stretched to their limit, and the economy in loyalist areas is getting weaker. Assad’s regime can muddle through, but not indefinitely,” he added.
The Syrian opposition on Monday called on the UN to intervene in Darayya and Aleppo.
“Displacing innocent civilians from their towns, uprooting them from their lands, brutalizing them, and forcing them to acquiesce and leave their homes will only feed extremism and terrorism,” the Syrian opposition body said.
“The regime and its Russian and Iranian allies, along with sectarian militias and mercenaries, have already killed more than 500,000 Syrian citizens and have displaced millions. Yet the world has stood by helplessly, taking no action to put an end to this tragedy,” the opposition added.
“The Aleppo battle prevents Assad’s forces from consolidating their control over the Damascus area, and other areas of the country,” analyst Heras told ARA News.
“Particularly in the more strategically important western Syria, where Assad’s statelet exists. Never mind eastern Syria where the regime is in a very weakened position and has a tenuous presence. It ‘s difficult to see why Turkey, which knows that the Assad regime will have great trouble reestablishing its authority in the Rojava area to be able to create another Adana Accords-like situation,” he stated.
“Right now, and for the foreseeable future, Erdogan can do more for Assad than Assad can do for Erdogan,” he concluded.
Source: ARA News